A Trans-Atlantic and Trans-Pacific initiative
Post-COVID-19 Crisis Strategic Futures
Auxano Strategies, in collaboration with Nordic Foresight and the Global Arena Research Institute, has launched a strategic foresight initiative designed to facilitate scenario-based thinking around the drivers shaping a post-COVID-19 Crisis World. Below we are releasing video summaries of the project.
Post-COVID Global Strategic Futures Report
Explore COVID-19 pandemic’s implications on the trans-Atlantic community, US-China relations, IPCC emission reduction targets, the gig economy and more. Things are going to be different post-COVID-19. Strategic futures help us imagine what we can’t model or predict. Read condensed version of report below.
Read full report below
Imagining a Post-COVID World - Strategic Futures
by Auxano Strategies, Behavioural Strategies, & GARI
SCENARIO #1: The Panic Normalized
National competitive strategies dominate the global response to the crisis
SCENARIO #2: Taming our worst impulses
Collaboration among industrialized nations mitigates impact of crisis on advanced economies through vaccine development and 'reshoring' of manufacturing, while developing world experiences protracted effects
SCENARIO #3: Too Little, Too Late
The US and European Commission are unable to lead a global response. The G20 launches a global response, but it is too little, too late. China moves to fill a void.
SCENARIO #4: No Return to Normal
The global response to the virus mitigate the worst effects, but fail to prevent chronic on-going waves of infection. The crisis causes deep cultural changes, while strengthening decentralizing trends in economic organization and activity.
SCENARIO #5: An Atomized World
The pandemic exacerbates economic, ideological, and technological divisions within and among societies.
SCENARIO #6: A Disaster Forgotten
Crisis fatigue causes leaders and citizens to let the pandemic fade into annual global statistics, ushering in a new more conservative era of deficit reduction and budget austerity.
Upcoming Events
EDANA OUTLOOK COnference
EDANA has announced that Job C. Henning of Auxano Strategies and Jeffrey Saunders of Nordic Foresight will be keynote speakers for its annual OUTLOOK 2020 conference in September, where they will speak on global strategic foresight and scenario based planning in a post-COVID global economy.
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